The poll found that a majority of Americans disapprove of the Supreme Court’s position, and prominent Republicans have backed calls by some conservatives for tougher abortion laws across the nation. The court ruling, which not only upheld the Mississippi 15-week abortion ban, which is in direct conflict with Roe’s previous one against Wade, but completely overturned federal abortion protection at any stage, creates a stalemate for Republican lawmakers in moderate constituencies during the otherwise favorable election cycle. And it raises even more questions as the party looks to take back the White House in 2024. John Thomas, a Republican general who has worked in House of Representatives campaigns, expected Democrats to see a sharp rise in small dollar donations, and said the court ruling diverted attention from the financial woes that have plunged acceptance rates. of President Biden and was at the center of the Republicans. the route of the campaign. “In the short term, this is a winning debate for Democrats, especially vulnerable Democrats where there are a lot of white women with college education,” Thomas said. “It gives them a little respite from what was otherwise considered just a brutal conversation on almost every front.” Republicans only need to take one Senate seat and overturn a handful of House seats during a traditionally favorable midterm to win majorities in both houses. “While I think it shifts participation to the margins, I do not think this will be the top issue for people to vote for,” Thomas said. “It’s still going to be a great circle for Republicans. the question is does this allow an occasional Democrat to hold on? It does not change the possible result of the shift of the majority “. The danger, the generals say, is how strongly Republican lawmakers and governors are pushing for abortion bans, and how Republicans are handling the issue if they regain a majority in Congress. The aggressive pursuit of an abortion ban could boomerang, as opinion polls suggest Roe was widely popular. An NPR poll found that 56 percent of respondents opposed the Supreme Court ruling to oust Roe, including 53 percent of independents. A CBS News poll found that 59 percent of Americans disapprove of the court ruling, including 67 percent of women. Fifty-two percent of those polled described the decision as a “step backwards for America”, compared to 31 percent who described it as a step forward. Perhaps most importantly for the political landscape, 50 percent of Democrats said their decision made them more likely to vote in the midterm, compared to 20 percent of Republicans. Forty-two percent of Democrats said it would have no effect on their chances of voting, and 61 percent of independents said it would have no effect. “I think it all depends on how the state legislature handles this. “There will be some who will jump the shark; and that is what I think makes people like me pause the way it affects the road,” said a GOP general who works in House racing. A conservative coalition wrote to the two top House Republicans on Tuesday, urging them to schedule a vote on legislation that would ban abortion if a heartbeat was detected, going even further than the 15-week ban backed by many conservatives. On the Senate side, Republicans sought to downplay the long-term implications of the Supreme Court ruling. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) Slammed the abortion debate, saying in Kentucky Monday that neither side in the abortion debate has the 60 votes needed to codify protections or restrictions on abortions. Nevada Senate nominee Adam Laxalt has sought to strike a balance, calling the court ruling a “historic victory for the sanctity of life” that would give more power to the states. However, he acknowledged that Nevada had already voted in favor of abortion protection in the state, making it a settled issue there. Fighting Roe’s predecessor has long been a hotbed of debate for Republicans, but ambitious candidates for national office must now weigh in on more restrictive abortion policies with potential alienation. Responses from other conservatives have ranged from the wording of the ruling as a victory for state rights to the adoption of a comprehensive abortion ban, reflecting the vague course of action. Former President Trump hailed the Supreme Court ruling as a “lifelong victory,” but did not make it the focus of a rally in Illinois. Former Vice President Mike Pence has urged states to pass laws restricting abortions following a Supreme Court ruling. Nikki Haley, the former US ambassador to the United Nations, said the court ruling “brings the debate back to where it belongs – at the state level, closer to the people”. However, it is unclear whether the Democrats will be able to successfully put Republicans on the defensive of access to abortion. Republicans have been disciplined to focus on rising inflation, crime and the flow of immigrants to the southern U.S. border in an effort to put Democrats on the defensive. And those who oppose access to abortion point to previous elections where they say Democrats’ efforts to strike Republicans over abortion have fallen to the ground. “We have a prime example of last fall in the election of the governor of Virginia, which came just weeks after the Texas Heartbeat Bill went into effect,” said Mallory Carroll, vice president of communications at Susan B. Anthony Pro-Life America. . During the campaign, Democratic nominee Terry McAuliffe sought to brand Republican Glenn Youngkin an extremist on the issue, linking him to Texas law, despite Youngkin saying he disagreed with the ban. Youngkin focused on issues such as education and tax cuts. Polls show that 8 percent of voters rated abortion “the most important issue facing Virginia,” while 33 percent said the same about the economy and jobs. “[McAuliffe] “He tried to attack to use it to build his base, but he completely failed on election day,” Carroll said. The nation prepares for a miserable travel weekend as canceled flights pile up The Memo: Cassidy Hutchinson throws a hammer at Donald Trump However, the historic nature of the Supreme Court ruling could mean a different political landscape for this autumn’s candidates. “I would say it distracts voters from the kind of reckless ability of Democrats to do anything in Washington,” Thomas said. “Democrats thrive when they can argue that something is going to be taken away from their voters.” Julia Manchester contributed.
